Sites · Example
Forecast Review Site
Current outlook
$85.8M
FY26 total revenue +$200K vs plan
Week-4 retention scenario
Decision: keep the original outlook until the cohort evidence and rollout assumptions are reviewed.

Executive summary
The $9.9M higher case needs experiment evidence
The $85.8M current outlook remains the planning case pending review.
FY26 revenue outlook
$85.8MAnnual plan $85.6M- Current case
- Jan–Jun actuals are $21.3M. The Jul–Dec forecast contributes $64.5M.
- Higher case
- The supplied 60% retention case totals $95.7M, or $9.9M above the current outlook.
- Decision
- Review mature cohort evidence and rollout assumptions before adopting the higher case.
Fictional sources for this example
FY26 revenue outlook.xlsx
| FY26 plan | $85.59M |
|---|---|
| FY26 current outlook | $85.79M |
| Jan–Jun actuals | $21.30M |
| Jul–Dec forecast | $64.49M |
| Current retention case | 50% |
Fictional first-year rollout of a subscription product, in USD millions. Jan–Jun actuals total $21.30M; Jul–Dec forecast totals $64.49M. FY26 outlook is $85.79M versus an $85.59M plan. The steep ramp assumes expanding product availability; those assumptions are not validated here. The supplied 40%, 50%, and 60% retention cases total $78.82M, $85.79M, and $95.70M. These are model cases, not observed outcomes or a causal formula. Monthly values between cases are interpolated. Dragging a forecast month adds a separate adjustment of up to $5M, never below zero; only that month and the annual sum change. Sources and review slides stay unchanged.
How the draft uses itProvides the monthly inputs, exact annual control, and three cases. Manual adjustments explore a separate assumption; they do not revise the workbook.





